Three major Western countries, France, Britain and Canada, have recently expressed their intention to recognize the State of Palestine, indicating preparations for an official recognition during the upcoming session of the United Nations General Assembly (UNGA) in September.

Why is the September UNGA session seen as a critical moment? And how might Israel respond to such a move? In an interview with China Media Group (CMG), Professor Niu Xinchun of the China-Arab States Research Institute at Ningxia University offered his insights on the evolving geopolitical landscape and the potential implications of these developments.

A symbolic and strategic moment

The United Nations remains the most authoritative international organization in the world, and the General Assembly in September is its most high-profile event, Niu said. "Many heads of state attend and deliver addresses outlining their views on global affairs. Announcing recognition of Palestine during this session would carry maximum political weight."

Professor Niu pointed out that while both the Security Council and General Assembly are central decision-making bodies within the UN, the Security Council has struggled to advance resolutions favorable to Palestine due to obstruction by certain Western countries, notably the United States.

As a result, he explained, "the General Assembly has long served as a primary international platform for Palestine to seek recognition and rights. Over the years, it has adopted numerous resolutions supporting Palestinian statehood and the broader Palestinian cause."

Mounting pressure on Israel

"The situation in Gaza remains dire. Ceasefire talks have stalled, and the humanitarian crisis has reached its most severe point," Niu said, adding, "International pressure on Israel is now unprecedented."

In response to the ongoing crisis, Israel may soon be forced to make a decisive move, he stressed. Citing Israeli media reports, Niu said that following hours of discussions between U.S. Special Envoy to the Middle East Steve Witkoff and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, Israel is reportedly preparing to announce its final stance on Gaza.

"According to sources, Israel is no longer willing to engage in phased negotiations with Hamas. Instead, it is pushing for an all-inclusive deal that would require Hamas to release all hostages at once. If Hamas refuses, Israel may launch a full-scale military operation across the Gaza Strip," Niu said.

"This growing international pressure could result in either a permanent ceasefire or an escalation of military action by Israel," Niu concluded. "At the moment, the latter appears more likely."